As the 2024-2025 League One season heads into its final stretch, Birmingham City’s hopes of securing the title are looking brighter by the day. However, there’s still plenty of football to be played, and Wycombe Wanderers are breathing down their necks. With both teams having some key fixtures ahead, when exactly can Birmingham City mathematically seal the title? Let’s break it down.
Where Birmingham City Stand Right Now
Birmingham City are in the driver’s seat at the top of the League One table, with 70 points from 30 matches. That’s an impressive average of 2.33 points per game, and if they continue their form, they could end up with a maximum of 118 points this season. They are on course to smash the League One record set by Wolverhampton Wanderers of 103 points.
Wycombe Wanderers
Right on Birmingham City’s heels are Wycombe Wanderers, who have 64 points from 32 games. With 14 matches left, they can still amass a maximum of 106 points. But they still have to face Birmingham City in what will be a decisive clash later in the season. How that game pans out could make a small but not insignificant difference in the title race.
How Many Points Do Birmingham City Need to Secure the Title?
For Birmingham City to be absolutely certain of winning the title, they need to reach at least 107 points. Currently sitting at 70 points, that means they need 37 more points to guarantee finishing ahead of Wycombe Wanderers. With 16 games left, they’ll need to pick up at least 13 wins to get to that magic number of 107.
Winning 13 out of their remaining 16 matches would put them on 109 points, which would be enough to clinch the title.
The Crucial Birmingham City vs Wycombe Wanderers Clash
The Birmingham City vs Wycombe Wanderers League One title showdown on the 1st of March will be vital in the figures. This head-to-head match could have a big impact on how many points Birmingham City need to secure the title. Here’s how things would change depending on the result:
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If Birmingham City win: They’ll reduce the points needed to win the title to 104 points due to Wycombe’s maximum total falling to 103. They would only need 34 more points from the other 15 games, meaning 12 wins would be required.
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If the game ends in a draw: The most Wycombe Wanderers can then achieve is 104 points, meaning Birmingham would need 105 points to guarantee the title.
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If Birmingham City lose: The title target will stay at 107 points, so Birmingham City would still need 37 more points due to the gap between the two to secure the crown and hold off Wycombe Wanderers’ challenge.
When Could Birmingham City Clinch the Title?
If Birmingham City win 13 out of their remaining 16 games, they’ll reach 109 points, and that will be enough to see them crowned League One champions. With 16 games left and the chance to pick up 48 more points, the next few weeks will be crucial.
The 14th game in this scenario is set to be away at Mansfield Town on 26th April. This could be the match that secures the title, assuming no fixtures are rearranged and Wycombe win every game including the tie against the Blues. If Birmingham City win the game against the Chairboys but Wycombe win every other game, the title could come as early as the fixture against Crawley Town on the 18th April 2025.
However, If the Chairboys drop points then it could be a different story. If they continue their current form of 2.03 points per game they will achieve 92 points, meaning Birmingham would only need 23 more points meaning they would pass that figure in just eight games.
Conclusion: The Finish Line Is in Sight
It now seems inevitable that the Blues are going to pick up the title and will more than likely smash the League One points record. There will be criticism from some about money spent, but their short stay in League One has brought a huge amount of buzz to the league and we certainly will wish them luck in the Championship next season.
Statistics were checked by a third party and correct as of 23:04 on 22/02/25.